AXIOM // POLYBOT TERMINAL

▸ SYSTEM STATUS

Polymarket Balance

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PAPER

Today's P&L

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Total P&L

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ROI —

Win Rate

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— W / — L

Total Trades

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avg $— /trade

APD%

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APD% — Last 7 days

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Skip Rate

— / 85% target

On Target

Avg EV_adj

— avg

On Target

Gate 1 Trigger Rate

— rate

Active

Avg Trade Size

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Sizing

Strategy GBM SIGNAL ENGINE

MARKET

Polymarket BTC 5-min binary

Up/Down markets · USDC · Polygon

SIGNAL SOURCE

Binance BTC/USDT WebSocket — price momentum + order book imbalance
BTC Δ threshold: — / 30s window

SIZING

Kelly criterion · manual · cap — · max $— · max loss/12h $—

GATE PIPELINE

Pre-filter Stale lag >20s · No-chase · EV decay

Gate 1 Microstructure confidence ≥ —

Gate 2 EV_adj ≥ —% floor · spread cap 3%

Gate 3 BTC momentum direction · min Δ —%

▶ TRADE Entry at best ask/bid · Kelly size · TP/SL managed

Gate Performance — 24h

Pre-Filters

A: Stale lag—

B: Chase—

C: EV decay—

Avg lag—

Gate 1: Micro

Trigger rate—

Fails (G1+1.5)—

Last seen—

Gate 2: EV+Cost

EV_adj avg—

Cost avg—

Pass rate—

Fails (G2/2.5)—

Gate 3: BTC Mom

Trades executed—

Trade rate—

Fails (G3)—

Avg spread—

Recent Signals (Last 10)

TimeDirEV_adjVerdictReason

No signals yet

Feed Status

Binance: Waiting...

Chainlink: Waiting...

Polymarket: Loading...

Wallet: Not configured

USDC: —

AI Analysis: Not configured

▸ TRADES & SIGNALS

Revenue (Wins)

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— trades

Costs (Losses)

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— trades

Net P&L

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— trades

Win Rate

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— /trade

Advanced Metrics ▼

Sharpe Ratio

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Max Drawdown

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Expectancy

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Profit Factor

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Win Streak

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Loss Streak

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Avg Win

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Avg Loss

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Decision Stream

Time	Dir	Filter	Lag	EV adj	Spread	Verdict	Reason
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Decisions (24h)

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Skip Rate

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Avg EV_adj

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Avg Lag Age

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Avg Spread

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Last Signal

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Pre-Filters A/B/C

A: Lag stale (>20s)—

B: Chase (>8%)—

C: EV decaying—

Avg Lag Age—

Gate 1: Microstructure

Confidence—

Pass Rate—

Fails (G1 + G1.5)—

Last detected—

Gate 2: EV + Cost

EV_adjusted avg—

Pass Rate—

Fails (G2/2.5)—

Gate 3: BTC Momentum

EMA pass rate—

Fails (G3)—

Trades executed—

Trade rate—

Skip Breakdown (24h)

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Live Market Feed ● DISCONNECTED

BTC Price

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BTC Δ 30s

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YES Price

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NO Price

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EV_adj

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EV History

OB Imbal

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Flips

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Balance

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Decision Stream

TimeDirFilterLagEV_adjSpreadVerdictReason

No signals yet

Live on-chain trades from your Polymarket wallet

TimeSideOutcomeMarketPriceUSDC

Click Refresh to load your Polymarket activity

▸ AI — STRATEGY ANALYSIS

Analysis Control

Trades Analyzed

0

Next Trigger

After 50 more trades

Auto-Analysis

OFF

Latest Analysis

No analyses yet. Click "Analyze Now" to get started.

Date	Trade Count	P&L	Status	Action
No analysis history yet

⚗ LAB & SETTINGS

TOTAL PnL

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WIN RATE

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PROFIT FACTOR

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EXPECTANCY

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SHARPE

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MAX DRAWDOWN

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TRADES

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AVG PnL/TRADE

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per closed trade

Cumulative P&L Curve

━ Cumulative P&L ($) ┄ APD% (right axis, since start)

No closed trades yet

Strategy Parameters

EV Floor (Gate 2)1.5%

Lower = more trades, higher = fewer but cleaner

BTC Momentum Threshold0.015%

Min 30s BTC move to trigger directional signal

Kelly Cap10%

Max % of balance per trade

Signal Interval8s

Max Trade Size (USD)$10

Gate 3 (BTC direction)

Hitting APPLY saves settings and restarts the bot

By Direction

No data

By Exit Reason

No data

By EV at Entry

No data

Performance by Hour (UTC)

Open Positions

No open positions

Recent Closed Trades

#	Time	Dir	Entry	Exit	Size	PnL	EV	Exit Reason

No closed trades in selected period

Gate Thresholds

Gate 1: Microstructure Confidence

0.45

Informational only — Gate 2 EV is the real filter

Gate 2: EV Hard Floor

0.5%

Minimum EV% required to trade (0.2–1.5% recommended) — lower = more trades

Gate 3: BTC Momentum Direction Confirmation

Min Kelly Edge (trade entry threshold)

5%

Minimum Kelly edge (modelProb − marketProb) required to enter

Gate 3: Min BTC Δ (momentum threshold)

0.010%

Min 30s BTC % move for Gate 3 direction confirmation (0.005–0.02% recommended)

Min BTC Flat Filter (btcFlat threshold)

0.005%

Skip if BTC is completely flat below this threshold (unless Gamma displaced)

Signal Interval

8s

Seconds between signal evaluations (5–15s recommended)

Order Execution

Order Timeout

60s

Max time to hold a resting limit order before cancellation

Adverse Selection Tolerance (ticks)

8

Cancel BUY if market drops this many ticks below limit price while order rests

Orders rest as GTC limits at lastTradePrice + 1 tick. Paper orders use stochastic fill simulation — fills are NOT guaranteed.

Flip & EV Exit

Flip Threshold (%)

5%

Min EV gain required to flip an open position. 5% filters BTC noise (~3-4% EV swings).

EV Decay Exit Ratio

2.0

EV velocity floor multiplier (0.5–2.0 recommended) — higher = less blocking of oscillating signals

Opening Window (seconds after market open)

100s

Trade in the first N seconds after market opens — fresh mispricing window

Closing Window (seconds before market close)

600s

Trade in the final N seconds before market closes — resolution momentum locked in

Position Sizing Mode

Manual — you set kelly cap & max size Adaptive — computed from trade stats

Kelly Cap (manual)

10%

Fractional Kelly cap — 10% recommended for Phase A

Max Trade Size (USD)

Hard dollar cap per trade — Kelly fraction applied to balance then capped here

Max Loss over 12 Hours (USD)

Resume after loss pause

Automatic pause duration (hours)

Net closed P&L including fees over the last 12 hours. Entries pause at the limit; exits and redemption continue. Automatic resume also requires loss below the limit. Duration changes apply from the original pause time.

Virtual Loss Filter

Enable Virtual Loss — simulate entries until N virtual losses, then trade for real

While not armed: same bot rules, but no real/paper dry balance impact. After one real WIN, filter resets.

Required virtual losses before real trade

Paper Trading Mode

Paper Trading (uncheck = LIVE real money)

Paper Balance

Paper trading ACTIVE — all trades are simulated, no real money

Chainlink RPC Config

RPC Endpoint (optional)

Leave blank to use default public nodes

AI Analysis Configuration

AI Provider

Claude API Key

Stored encrypted

Claude Model

Auto-analyze every 50 newly completed trades

API Key not configured

Polymarket Wallet

Wallet Address

Signature Type

For V2, this must match your Polymarket account type.

Funder Address

If blank, Wallet Address is used. For proxy or deposit wallets, enter the funder address explicitly.

Builder Code (optional)

Private Key (not set)

Required for live trading. Stored encrypted. Never shared.

Geo Block Token (not set)

Required if server IP is geo-blocked by Polymarket. Get from browser DevTools → any clob.polymarket.com POST request → geo_block_token query param.

CLOB Proxy URL (not set)

Route order placement through a local HTTP proxy to bypass server-side geo-block. Run a proxy on a non-blocked machine (e.g. your local PC with VPN) and expose it via ngrok. Format: http://host:port

USDC Balance: Not connected

Redemption Relayer API Key (not set)

For gasless redemption: Polymarket → Settings → API Keys → Relayer API Keys. This is separate from the trading API key. Stored encrypted.

Relayer Signer Address

Auto-redeem resolved positions (LIVE) Redeem all winnings (including not made by DeltaForge)

Redeems winnings on Polygon after a market resolves. Direct redemption requires POL for gas in the signing wallet; relayed redemption uses the relayer settings above. Set the interval below.

Auto-redeem interval (sec)

Minimum: 120 seconds. Default: every 10 minutes.

Require Whale Convergence

Only trade if copy targets are trading in same direction

Enable Latency Arb Mode (optional)

Separate strategy mode: Binance implied probability vs Polymarket price. Disabled = current Blast logic unchanged.

Simple last-minute mode

Separate mode: trades only in the final minute before expiry (60 seconds or less). Buys at the current market price when an outcome is priced at 0.99 or higher (ask or Gamma). While enabled, the normal Φ/EV signal process is bypassed.

Latency edge threshold (pp)

Signal only if |impliedProb - polyPrice| >= threshold. 0.10 = 10 percentage points.

Pre-close window (sec)

Only trade when time remaining is inside this final window before expiry.

Slope guard window (sec)

Short BTC momentum confirmation window to avoid reversal entries.

⚙ Admin Panel

TOTAL USERS

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ACTIVE BOTS

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TOTAL TRADES

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PLATFORM P&L

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TRADES (24H)

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P&L (24H)

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WIN RATE

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Users

Email	Role	Bot	Mode	Trades	Win%	P&L	Actions
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All Trades

User	Market	Dir	Entry	Size	P&L	Result	Time
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Admin Action Log

Live Bot Logs ● LIVE Auto-refresh

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